Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

Good Morning all, it would appear as though we are in the midst of a classic progressive GFS solution & slightly less progressive ECM solution (over the years I have lost count on how many times this has been modelled)!

For what it’s worth I think anyone over 150m will get a decent event, I can’t see much at levels below unless we see GFS align more to ECMs thinking.. which isn’t beyond the realms of possibility… last week as a case in point!

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

MetO seemingly not convinced this Sunday front will get further than chester-ish….

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

Well, what an event that was, a good inch + here in Sale, once again excellently forecast Kasim.

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

Hi Kasim, has the area where this low is going to pivot become clear or is this something still uncertain?

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

It definitely has a feel of nowcasting about it after say 8pm… could be a few surprise modest as level accumulations around Cheshire & GM.

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

Incredible to see such fine margins still with this low, in what would traditionally be considered well within the ‘reliable’ forecast window. Interesting times.

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

MetO week ahead video forecast seem to downplay the threat of snow at modest levels later in the week in NW Eng, emphasis seemed to be very much on mainly rain showers. The BBC seemed more bullish with their take on things so will be interesting to see how Thur-Fri plays out.

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

Obviously a huge amount of rain due in the next 48hrs in the west facing pennines, with the ground so sodden, could this impact chances of settling snow Thursday?

[Slidergate 17. Sale , Cheshire]

Hi Kasim,

Slidergate here, i have registered here from the darkside 😉. Look forward to hearing your ongoing input on all things weather!

Chris

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