Northern England, (NW & Yorkshire) weather discussion January 2021

[Raul Alonso]

Mmm do you think there is a chance at all for say all south Mcr for tomorrow front?

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ISALE43

[Kasim Awan]

Yes there is a chance espscy Crewe south.

[Raul Alonso]

Need bit more north.. Altrincham/Sale area 😉

-0.2c and 97% RH about 1cm snow still on grass and roofs 😉

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ISALE43

[Dkeane3]

Thanks Kasim, I’m thinking to follow the ECM and MetO as they have been consistent in their southern track

[Kasim Awan]

-1.8 with no melt apart from gritted roads

I’d say you could be the northern extent. Could be way south tho. 5050.

[Kasim Awan]

Dkeane3 wrote:

Thanks Kasim, I’m thinking to follow the ECM and MetO as they have been consistent in their southern track

Yes Keane but the wrf is not to be discounted given it’s performance recently.

[Kasim Awan]

Most likely zone of interest atm.

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[Raul Alonso]

I got that RainToday as well. With the weather pro app u get all the Meteogrup apps 🙂 quite nice tbh

That line you draw needs to be thinner 😉

• This reply was modified 3 years, 10 months ago by Raul Alonso.

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ISALE43

[Withington, Manchester, 38m ASL]

Fingers crossed for the WRF 😉

[Had Worse]

Hi Chaps,

Things seem to be simmering away at the moment. Certainly a very interesting winter (up here anyway).
I’m watching that precip with interest. I think its Northern extent will be somewhere around Bury GTR Manc.

Thats my punt.

Welcome to Royston Vasey, You'll Never Leave.

[Kasim Awan]

I’d go with Liverpool / Manchester or North Cheshire as the northern limit. The instability is heading south through the front now as expected. So certainly further north than the Arpege etc not by a huge amount tho.

[Kasim Awan]

There is a pivotting stall tomorrow. Could occurr from south Cheshire to Birmingham. Need to keep an eye on the front speed on radar this is the most important factor, faster = further NE.

[SouthYorks]

Looks like todays snow will be mostly to the South of our region, with the pivot point being in the Midlands. Models have the northern extent in a line south Lincolnshire/Wash across to North Wales. Icon is slightly further North taking some snow into North Derbyshire/South Yorkshire/Manchester.

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[Weather enthusiast]

SouthYorks wrote:

Looks like todays snow will be mostly to the South of our region, with the pivot point being in the Midlands. Models have the northern extent in a line south Lincolnshire/Wash across to North Wales. Icon is slightly further North taking some snow into North Derbyshire/South Yorkshire/Manchester.

IMO, I would just look at the model that looks most like the current radar picture and go with that because some of them are clearly off. WRF is definitely too far south, it doesn’t have the precipitation reaching Llandudno at 8am and it is clearly further north of this now.

[Kasim Awan]

Seems to be a lot of virga around now.

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